EVs are starting to overtake gas-powered cars in a surprising place | CNN (2024)

EVs are starting to overtake gas-powered cars in a surprising place | CNN (1)

A worker charges an electric minibus at a factory in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

CNN

Long lines have been forming at gas stations in Ethiopia’s capital, Addis Ababa, amid fuel shortages and a price spike in recent months.

But electric vehicle driver Mikial Belayneh avoids them completely.

“I no longer line up for petrol on the road,” Belayneh, an Addis resident, told CNN. A full charge of his imported Toyota bZ4X – a popular EV in the country – “is more than enough for two days.”

Belayneh, who charges his car at home, is part of rapid transition to EVs in Addis Ababa, a fast-growing city in the horn of Africa at the center of Ethiopia’s goal to hoist millions of people out of poverty.

In addition to the polluting cars and trucks rumbling along the roads, cleaner — and quieter — vehicles are joining the traffic. Electric buses, smaller 15-seat minibuses, cars and motorbikes are popping up on the streets of the capital.

There are around 100,000 EVs in Ethiopia so far.

EVs are starting to overtake gas-powered cars in a surprising place | CNN (2)

Electric bus assembly at a factory in Addis Ababa.

The Ethiopian government estimates that number will more than quadruple by 2032. That’s largely because the national government took the extraordinary step earlier this year of banning the importof all gas-powered passenger vehicles — becoming the first nation in the world to do so.

It also effectively slashed the customs tax on imported cars: The tax on gas vehicles was up to 200% before they were banned, while the import tax for fully assembled EVs is just 15%, according to the country’s finance ministry.

It’s part of a government-led effort to get more EVs on the streets.

The lower rates are also spurring more local EV manufacturing. Hundreds of the vehicles were assembled by Ethiopia-based Belayneh Kindie Group using parts imported from China. Besufekad Shewaye, manager at the company, told CNN that import tariffs are “almost zero percent” for EV parts that are assembled in Ethiopia.

“Nowadays most vehicle owners prefer EVs, especially light vehicles,” Shewaye said. “The demand is increasing from day to day.”

A rapid shift from gasoline

Ethiopia is leaning hard into EVs in part because importing fuel is expensive, and 96% of the country’s electricity comes from clean hydropower – a dual win for the country’s finances and the environment.

“They really are a clean-energy country,”said Jane Akumu, a Kenya-based program officer at the United Nations Environment Programme. “Why are you importing oil while you have local electricity that you can actually use for your vehicles?”

The government recognized it had a bountiful renewable energy source in the country when it started shifting towards EVs, said Assefa Hadis Hagos, a transportation adviser for the Ethiopian Ministry of Transport and Logistics.

Yet the total ban on gas-powered car imports, passed in January, took many in the region by surprise. “We didn’t know that the government was going to fully back a total ban,” Akumu said.

EVs are starting to overtake gas-powered cars in a surprising place | CNN (3)

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, a massive hydropower plant on the Nile River that neighbors Sudan and Egypt, produces electricity in Benishangul-Gumuz, Ethiopia.

Ethiopia, which has for years been ruled by a one-party authoritarian government, has shown it can quickly implement environmental policies that would likely take longer in more democratic nations. In the early 2000s, the nation moved rapidly to ban inefficient and dangerous leaded gasoline.

“Other countries require more consultative process, more participation,” said Akumu, who also spearheaded the effort to eradicate leaded gasoline in Africa.

The number of cars on the road in Ethiopia is still quite low, about 1.2 million in total — or roughly one car for every 100 people. In the US, more than 91% of Americans own at least one car. In Africa’s most populous of country Nigeria, it’s 11.8 million cars total, or between 5 and 6 carsper 100 people.

The Ethiopian government had kept car ownership rates low with its dramatically high taxes on gas-powered vehicles that cost consumers up to three times the value of car imports— part of an effort to get more people to use public transportation.

Workers install solar panels on the rooftop of a home in Poway, California, US, on Tuesday, Dec. 5, 2023. State subsidy cuts combined with high interest rates are slowing solar installations and costing green jobs. Sandy Huffaker/Bloomberg/Getty Images Related article Americans have saved billions with a law they know next to nothing about

Even though the government has reduced or eliminated some of the taxes for imported EVs, buying an electric car is still expensive. “In terms of who is buying EVs, it’s definitely those in the high-income groups,” said Iman Abubaker, who is based in Ethiopia andworks on sustainable transportation for the World Resources Institute, a global nonprofit organization.

For this reason, Abubaker’s group and others are working to push the Ethiopian government and others around the continent to invest more in electric buses and public transport, so the efficient vehicles can be used by people of all income levels.

Despite the cost, Ethiopia’s vehicle fleet has seen a gradual but sustained rise in the number of EVs displacing combustion enginecars. Within two years of the country’s 10-year goal to bring in more than 100,000 EVs — started in 2022 — EVs already account for nearly 10% of its vehicles, according toCleanTechnica.

Ethiopia’s government “feels good” about the pace of the transition, Hagos, the transportation advisor, told CNN. He added the government has a “commitment” to reducing climate and environmental pollution from gas cars.

EV buses and boda bodas

For now, Ethiopia stands alone in its ban of imported gas cars. The country’s ban is “definitely a one-off,” said Moses Nderitu, the Kenya managing director of electric bus company BasiGo.

But EV growth around the continent is happening even without such bans. In Nairobi, Kenya, electric motorbikes are seeing startling growth. Last year, Uber rolled out a fleet of eye-catching yellow motorbikes – known locally as boda bodas.

After the Kenyan government passed tax incentives, there was a 500% jump in electric motorbikes on the road in a single year, industry experts told CNN, going from the low hundreds to about 3,000 bikes on the streets of Nairobi.

That number is still a small fraction of the 200,000 total bikes on Nairobi’s streets, but it has already helped cut down on noise pollution in parts of the city, said Hezbon Mose, the Kenya country director for e-bike company Ampersand, which has fleets of bikes in both Kenya and Rwanda.

In the Ethiopian capital, stricter measures, which include the non-issuance of licenses for fuel-run motorbikes, have been implemented by the city’s authorities who approved a timeline in April for gasoline motorcycles to be converted to electric-powered models.

EVs are starting to overtake gas-powered cars in a surprising place | CNN (5)

Ethiopia is leaning hard into EVs in part because importing fuel is expensive, and 96% of the country’s electricity comes from clean hydropower.

Earlier in March, the city introduced its first fleet of electric buses for public transit.

American-style electric public buses — more drab than the colorful and music playing gas-powered matatu buses in Kenya — are also starting to be driven more on Nairobi streets.

Both Mose and Nderitu see EVs on the rise across the continent, as some countries look to get off oil in favor of cheaper electricity. Much more infrastructure and government subsidies are needed in many countries to get more people to go electric.

“I look at electric vehicles exactly as we looked at the mobile telephone market 30 years ago,” Nderitu told CNN. “When the rest of the world started adopting mobile phones, there was no infrastructure (in Africa). There was a very small amount of people who were connected to phones. Today you look at Nairobi, you hardly find anybody without a phone.”

Correction: A previous version of this story had some bad math in it with respect to the number of cars in Ethiopia. It’s roughly one car for every 100 people. This story has been updated.

EVs are starting to overtake gas-powered cars in a surprising place | CNN (2024)

FAQs

Will electric cars overtake gas cars? ›

Legislation. Many states have passed laws or had governors sign executive orders banning the sale of new gasoline passenger cars in their states by 2035. If this happens nationally, most passenger cars on the road by 2050 could be electric.

Are electric cars worse for the environment than gas cars? ›

Myth #1: Electric vehicles are worse for the climate than gasoline cars because of power plant emissions. FACT: Electric vehicles typically have a smaller carbon footprint than gasoline cars, even when accounting for the electricity used for charging. Electric vehicles (EVs) have no tailpipe emissions.

What would happen if everyone started using electric cars? ›

This latest report estimates that by 2050, a switch to zero-emission vehicles and a decarbonized electric grid would mean 2.79 million fewer pediatric asthma attacks, 147,000 fewer pediatric acute bronchitis cases, 2.67 million fewer cases of pediatric upper respiratory symptoms and 1.87 million fewer cases of ...

Can you still drive gas cars after 2035? ›

Can I still drive my gasoline car after 2035? Yes. Even after 2035, gasoline cars can still be driven in California, registered with the California Department of Motor Vehicles, and sold as a used car to a new owner.

Why are electric cars not the future? ›

While bigger batteries allow drivers to travel farther between charges, they also make the cars heavier, more dangerous, more expensive, and worse for the planet. The "range anxiety" that has resulted in massive batteries is another reason EVs don't work as a replacement for gas cars.

What will happen to gas stations when electric cars take over? ›

Experts warn that gas stations' days could be numbered as more drivers turn to electric vehicles ahead of a deadline for halting sales of new gas cars. But analysts say companies could boost their chances of survival by providing better snacks, automated checkouts and EV chargers.

Why shouldn't we use electric cars? ›

Electric vehicles are not “zero” emissions—they create more emissions than internal combustion engine vehicles when they are produced, and they also cause emissions when they are charged, usually by burning fossil fuels.

Why are electric car batteries bad for the environment? ›

With all that's required to mine and process minerals — from giant diesel trucks to fossil-fuel-powered refineries — EV battery production has a significant carbon footprint. As a result, building an electric vehicle does more damage to the climate than building a gas car does.

How long do electric car batteries last? ›

Most last between 10 and 20 years; for context, the average car on American roads is 12.5 years old. The battery life can vary slightly or significantly depending on certain factors. Let's take a look at those factors. EV batteries typically last 10 to 20 years, but certain factors can impact that lifespan.

Can the US power grid handle all electric cars? ›

A question that frequently comes up when discussing electric vehicles (EVs) is: “Can the grid handle it?” The short answer is “yes.” Getting that answer, however, takes working through a number of other key questions and doing a little bit of math.

Are EVs going to fail? ›

The EV market is not collapsing, experts say, it's just entering a new phase. Worldwide sales of plug-in vehicles will rise a little more than 20% this year compared to last year, according to a recent report from the International Energy Agency.

Why don t we all drive electric cars? ›

EVs Are Too Expensive

EVs tend to have higher upfront prices than similar gas-powered cars. However, electric cars aren't necessarily more expensive to own over time. Moreover, all cars are much more expensive now than they once were.

Will gas cars become illegal? ›

California is gearing up to ban the sale of new gas-powered cars -- and now 11 more US states are playing follow the leader. A measure approved by the California Air Resources Board back in August 2022 requires all new cars, SUVs and pickup trucks sold in the state to generate zero tailpipe emissions by 2035.

What 8 states are banning gas cars? ›

Still, after California announced two years ago that it would go down this road, eight other states have followed its lead: Delaware, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, and Washington. California says outlawing gas-powered vehicles will help solve the climate crisis.

What are the cons of gas powered cars? ›

Burning gasoline releases carbon dioxide and other pollutants, contributing to air pollution and climate change. They're also not as fuel-efficient as electric vehicles, which can result in higher fuel costs and increased carbon emissions.

Are electric cars really going to take over? ›

Although the industry faces near-term challenges, the IEA report predicts almost one in five cars sold in the United States will be electric by 2030. A February report by Clean Investment Monitor found that, despite headlines suggesting a slowdown, 2023 sales in the US were at the top of the range of projections.

Will there still be gas cars in 2050? ›

Given all the constraints, experts expect gas cars and trucks to be available until at least 2050, though a handful of states will phase them out as soon as 2035. To date, those states include California, Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island and Washington.

Will EV cars go away? ›

To be clear: The American market for EVs is not collapsing. In the last quarter of 2023, EV sales were up 40% from the same quarter a year before, according to Cox Automotive. In fact, EV sales in the United States hit a record last year, topping 1 million for the first time.

Will electric cars ever be faster than gas cars? ›

Electric cars are capable of being quicker than gas-powered cars, but EVs aren't yet capable of going faster. Our little zero to 60 scenario is a good example. Gasoline cars do have a performance advantage when those top speeds are being sustained for longer periods of time.

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